Is NIO a good buy right now?
USNYSE: NIONYSE-listedlast $5.81 · 1 May 2026
Not yet — wait
No open signal as of 30 Sep 2026. The last Buy signal came on 6 Apr 2026 at $6.47 and closed on 1 May 2026 (−10.1%).
As of 30 Sep 2026 · Firefly Breakout Weekly
What happened after the last 8 buy signals on NIO
Oct 2024 – 30 Sep 20260 of 8 closed above the entry price, with an average outcome of −11.4% per signal before costs; a signal typically stayed open about 8 d.
| Buy signal | Price then | Closed | Held | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | $6.47 | 1 May 2026 | 4 wk | -10.1% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | $6.21 | 20 Mar 2026 | 4 d | -13.0% |
| 18 Sep 2025 | $7.5 | 10 Oct 2025 | 3 wk | -11.2% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | $5.09 | 30 Jul 2025 | 8 d | -11.4% |
| 18 Oct 2024 | $5.47 | 6 Nov 2024 | 3 wk | -11.1% |
| 15 Oct 2024 | $5.81 | 17 Oct 2024 | 2 d | -13.1% |
| 8 Oct 2024 | $6.25 | 15 Oct 2024 | 7 d | -10.2% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | $6.9 | 8 Oct 2024 | 7 d | -11.4% |
Outcomes are simulated by applying Firefly's rules to historical prices, before costs and slippage. Sell triggers are not counted: Firefly reads them as “don't enter”, not as short trades. Past behaviour of a rule is not a prediction of future prices.
The strategy behind this page
one rule set per market · beta| Strategy | Horizon | Signal | Since | Buy signals closed higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firefly Breakout Weekly | Medium term | No signal | — | 0% |
This beta publishes one rule set per market — Firefly Breakout Weekly — chosen in the October 2026 review. What the beta shows and how the data was cleaned →
Same theme beyond US
same theme, other marketsIndian peers are listed on the NSE and priced in rupees. Crypto gains are taxed at 30% in India with 1% TDS. Shown for context — not a recommendation to switch markets.
More questions about NIO
NIO share price today — buy or sell?
As of 30 Sep 2026, Firefly Breakout Weekly says wait on NIO. No open signal as of 30 Sep 2026. The last Buy signal came on 6 Apr 2026 at $6.47 and closed on 1 May 2026 (−10.1%). The last price on record was $5.81 on 1 May 2026.
How has Firefly's strategy done on NIO?
From October 2024 to 30 Sep 2026 Firefly's rules gave 8 buy signals on NIO; 0 closed above the entry price and the average outcome was −11.4% per signal, simulated on historical prices before costs. A handful of signals is a pattern, not a statistic.
What is the NIO price target?
We don't publish price targets — no rule-based system can forecast a price. Firefly Breakout Weekly closes each signal by its own rules; every closed signal on NIO and how it turned out is listed on this page.
Should I sell NIO?
No sell trigger is active on NIO as of 30 Sep 2026. This describes a rule, not advice on your position.
Why does this page show a single strategy?
This is the Signals beta. Each market publishes one rule set — here Firefly Breakout Weekly — instead of a vote across Firefly's whole library, and the verdict is its signal as of 30 Sep 2026. Sell triggers count as “don't enter”; only buy triggers are scored.
Fintrens shows how one of Firefly's rule-based strategies reads this stock. It is educational information, not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. We do not publish price targets. Indian residents buy US stocks under the RBI's Liberalised Remittance Scheme; tax is collected at source above the annual threshold. Read how Firefly's strategies work →