Is Lemonade a good buy right now?
USNYSE: LMNDNYSE-listedlast $63.88 · 16 Jul 2026
Not yet — wait
Signal paused. LMND's price history has a jump — most likely a split or bonus issue that was not adjusted — and 1 trade touching it were left out until the data is checked. The last Buy signal came on 2 Jul 2026 at $72.1 and closed on 16 Jul 2026 (−11.4%).
As of 30 Sep 2026 · Firefly Breakout Weekly
What happened after the last 12 buy signals on LMND
Oct 2024 – 30 Sep 20261 of 12 closed above the entry price, with an average outcome of −6.2% per signal before costs; a signal typically stayed open about 8 d. 1 trade touching a jump in the price data was left out.
| Buy signal | Price then | Closed | Held | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | $72.1 | 16 Jul 2026 | 2 wk | -11.4% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | $74.76 | 5 Feb 2026 | 10 wk | -9.0% |
| 20 Nov 2025 | $77.31 | 20 Nov 2025 | 1 d | -12.2% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | $75.04 | 14 Nov 2025 | 7 d | -10.9% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | $79.86 | 7 Nov 2025 | 1 d | -13.4% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | $79.62 | 5 Nov 2025 | 1 d | -16.6% |
| 19 Sep 2025 | $61.76 | 24 Sep 2025 | 5 d | -14.3% |
| 18 Jul 2025 | $42.96 | 28 Jul 2025 | 10 d | -11.1% |
| 20 Jun 2025 | $44.79 | 10 Jul 2025 | 3 wk | -11.9% |
| 9 Jun 2025 | $41.82 | 18 Jun 2025 | 9 d | -10.2% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | $24.42 | 19 Nov 2024 | 3 wk | +65.6% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | $25.4 | 31 Oct 2024 | 1 d | -19.3% |
Outcomes are simulated by applying Firefly's rules to historical prices, before costs and slippage. Sell triggers are not counted: Firefly reads them as “don't enter”, not as short trades. Past behaviour of a rule is not a prediction of future prices.
The strategy behind this page
one rule set per market · beta| Strategy | Horizon | Signal | Since | Buy signals closed higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firefly Breakout Weekly | Medium term | No signal | — | 8% |
This beta publishes one rule set per market — Firefly Breakout Weekly — chosen in the October 2026 review. What the beta shows and how the data was cleaned →
Same theme beyond US
same theme, other marketsIndian peers are listed on the NSE and priced in rupees. Crypto gains are taxed at 30% in India with 1% TDS. Shown for context — not a recommendation to switch markets.
More questions about LMND
LMND share price today — buy or sell?
As of 30 Sep 2026, Firefly Breakout Weekly says wait on Lemonade. Signal paused. LMND's price history has a jump — most likely a split or bonus issue that was not adjusted — and 1 trade touching it were left out until the data is checked. The last Buy signal came on 2 Jul 2026 at $72.1 and closed on 16 Jul 2026 (−11.4%). The last price on record was $63.88 on 16 Jul 2026.
How has Firefly's strategy done on Lemonade?
From October 2024 to 30 Sep 2026 Firefly's rules gave 12 buy signals on Lemonade; 1 closed above the entry price and the average outcome was −6.2% per signal, simulated on historical prices before costs. A handful of signals is a pattern, not a statistic.
What is the Lemonade price target?
We don't publish price targets — no rule-based system can forecast a price. Firefly Breakout Weekly closes each signal by its own rules; every closed signal on Lemonade and how it turned out is listed on this page.
Should I sell Lemonade?
No sell trigger is active on Lemonade as of 30 Sep 2026. This describes a rule, not advice on your position.
Why does this page show a single strategy?
This is the Signals beta. Each market publishes one rule set — here Firefly Breakout Weekly — instead of a vote across Firefly's whole library, and the verdict is its signal as of 30 Sep 2026. Sell triggers count as “don't enter”; only buy triggers are scored.
Fintrens shows how one of Firefly's rule-based strategies reads this stock. It is educational information, not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. We do not publish price targets. Indian residents buy US stocks under the RBI's Liberalised Remittance Scheme; tax is collected at source above the annual threshold. Read how Firefly's strategies work →