Gold Carry MCX
Captures the roll yield between MCX GOLD contract months with a calendar spread, hedged against outright price moves.
- 1Y return
- +23.3%
- CAGR
- +19.9%
- Max drawdown
- -7.9%
- Sharpe
- 1.25
- Win rate
- 66.0%
- Subscribers
- 13070 slots left
Overview
Backtested Oct 23 – Sep 26 on the maximum allocation of ₹4,00,000, against the NIFTY 50.
- Gold Carry MCX
- NIFTY 50 (benchmark)
Characteristics
- Market
- India
- Brokers
- Angel One or Zerodha
- Trading hours
- 09:15–15:30 IST, Monday to Friday
- Operates on
- MCX
- Built on
- GOLD Futures
- Segment
- Commodity
- Strategy
- Calendar Spread / Carry
- Holding period
- Positional (weeks)
- Favourable in
- Stable interest-rate regimes
- Provider
- Ridgeline Systems
- Logic
- White box
Performance
Returns on the maximum allocation, by period and by month.
Returns by period
| Period | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | ₹1,000 | +0.25% |
| 3 months | ₹9,226 | +2.31% |
| 6 months | ₹76,031 | +19.01% |
| 1 year | ₹93,258 | +23.31% |
| 3 years | ₹2,89,494 | +72.37% |
| All time | ₹2,89,494 | +72.37% |
Return profile
- Cumulative return
- +72.37%
- CAGR
- +19.90%
- Avg. up month
- +2.75%
- Avg. down month
- -2.00%
Monthly returns
Monthly returns distribution
- -4.28% to -0.96%6 months
- -0.78% to 0.25%6 months
- 0.33% to 1.49%6 months
- 1.59% to 2.58%6 months
- 2.78% to 4.34%6 months
- 4.36% to 6.95%6 months
Drawdowns
How deep and how long the strategy fell from its peaks, and how fast it recovered.
Underwater plot
Worst 5 drawdowns
| # | Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -7.91% | Mar 24 | May 24 | Jan 25 | 300 days | 240 days |
| 2 | -3.85% | Nov 23 | Dec 23 | Jan 24 | 60 days | 30 days |
| 3 | -2.54% | Nov 25 | Dec 25 | Mar 26 | 120 days | 90 days |
| 4 | -1.18% | Jun 26 | Jul 26 | Aug 26 | 60 days | 30 days |
| 5 | -0.96% | Jul 25 | Aug 25 | Sep 25 | 60 days | 30 days |
Trade metrics
Trading behaviour, risk, consistency and efficiency in one place.
Trades
- Frequency
- 0.5 trades/week
- Success ratio
- 66.00%
- Avg. profit per trade
- +2.90%
- Avg. loss per trade
- -2.40%
- Risk : reward
- 1.21
- Stop-loss per trade
- 3.00%
Risk
- Risk level
- Moderate
- Avg. drawdown
- -2.98%
- Max drawdown
- -7.91%
- Avg. time to recovery
- 84 days
- Max time to recovery
- 240 days
- Annualised volatility
- 9.81%
Consistency
- Win days
- 53.70%
- Win months
- 75.00%
- Win quarters
- 83.33%
- Max consecutive wins
- 9 trades
- Max consecutive losses
- 3 trades
- Max consecutive winning months
- 8
Efficiency
- Sharpe
- 1.25
- Sortino
- 2.38
- Calmar
- 2.52
- Alpha
- 0.10
- Beta to NIFTY 50
- 0.19
Past trades
Daily profit and loss for any month since Oct 23. Pick a month, then a day to see its trades.
Month to date (16 Oct 2026) on the maximum allocation of ₹4,00,000. Select a day to see its trades.
- Trading days
- 1
- Winning days
- 0
- Best day
- −₹11,850
- Worst day
- −₹11,850
Tue 13 Oct 2026
About Gold Carry MCX
Gold Carry MCX trades the spread between the near and next GOLD futures contracts on MCX. When the spread deviates from its fair carry (interest and storage), the algo enters a calendar spread expecting convergence. Because it is long one month and short another, exposure to the gold price itself is small, which gives the strategy very low correlation to equity algos.
How it works
- Computes fair carry from the implied repo rate daily.
- Enters when the market spread deviates more than 1.5σ from fair carry.
- Holds until convergence or the 3% stop on spread value.
- Rolls positions ten days before near-month expiry.
White-box strategy: the provider discloses the rules above so you can judge the logic as well as the track record.
Risk notes
Combine with other algos
Correlation of monthly returns between Gold Carry MCX and other algos. Low or negative correlation means they tend not to draw down at the same time, which steadies a portfolio.
| Algo | Correlation | 1Y | Max DD | Combined max DD (50/50) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Convex Credit Spread Overnight | 0.10 | +27.4% | -43.1% | -20.1% | Combine |
| Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry | -0.09 | +27.0% | -14.3% | -7.5% | Combine |
| Momentum Pulse Equity | 0.30 | +13.1% | -16.7% | -10.3% | Combine |
| Mean Reversion NIFTY Intraday | -0.16 | +50.9% | -7.8% | -2.5% | Combine |
| Calm Harbour Iron Condor Weekly | -0.02 | +9.1% | -4.4% | -3.0% | Combine |
| Trend Rider BANKNIFTY Futures | 0.41 | +14.2% | -27.5% | -17.5% | Combine |
| Dividend Rotator Equity | 0.30 | +2.5% | -11.3% | -7.3% | Combine |
| Volatility Harvest Straddle | -0.29 | +51.5% | -17.3% | -3.2% | Combine |
| US Large-Cap Momentum | 0.23 | +19.7% | -11.3% | -5.3% | Combine |
| QQQ Trend Switch | -0.09 | +13.5% | -8.4% | -4.7% | Combine |
| SPX Weekly Put Spread | 0.17 | +22.2% | -8.8% | -3.2% | Combine |
| Bitcoin Trend 4H | -0.11 | +54.9% | -26.4% | -12.1% | Combine |
| ETH–BTC Rotation | -0.02 | +51.5% | -27.8% | -12.9% | Combine |
Frequently asked questions
Why add a commodity algo to an equity portfolio?
Its returns have near-zero correlation to NIFTY-based strategies, which lowers the combined drawdown when you combine algos on Lantern.
How do I subscribe to Gold Carry MCX?
Choose a plan on the pricing page, link your broker account, set your allocation (minimum ₹1,00,000) and the algo starts placing orders from the next session. You pay ₹699 per month plus 15% of net monthly profit above the high-water mark.
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