Convex Credit Spread Overnight
Sells NIFTY put or call spreads when option-surface curvature signals a convexity reversal, holding positions overnight to capture theta and skew normalisation.
- 1Y return
- +27.4%
- CAGR
- +62.5%
- Max drawdown
- -43.1%
- Sharpe
- 1.19
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Subscribers
- 15842 slots left
Overview
Backtested Oct 23 – Sep 26 on the maximum allocation of ₹3,20,000, against the NIFTY 50.
- Convex Credit Spread Overnight
- NIFTY 50 (benchmark)
Characteristics
- Market
- India
- Brokers
- Angel One or Zerodha
- Trading hours
- 09:15–15:30 IST, Monday to Friday
- Operates on
- NSE
- Built on
- NIFTY
- Segment
- F&O
- Strategy
- Credit Spread
- Holding period
- Overnight
- Favourable in
- Range-bound to mildly trending
- Provider
- Quantfold Labs
- Logic
- Black box
Performance
Returns on the maximum allocation, by period and by month.
Returns by period
| Period | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | ₹73,440 | +22.95% |
| 3 months | ₹26,213 | +8.19% |
| 6 months | ₹1,09,380 | +34.18% |
| 1 year | ₹87,739 | +27.42% |
| 3 years | ₹10,53,901 | +329.34% |
| All time | ₹10,53,901 | +329.34% |
Return profile
- Cumulative return
- +329.34%
- CAGR
- +62.53%
- Avg. up month
- +12.33%
- Avg. down month
- -9.87%
Monthly returns
Monthly returns distribution
- -22.06% to -9.84%6 months
- -8.67% to -0.31%6 months
- 1.92% to 6.16%6 months
- 7.39% to 11.37%6 months
- 12.94% to 17.8%6 months
- 18.24% to 27.19%6 months
Drawdowns
How deep and how long the strategy fell from its peaks, and how fast it recovered.
Underwater plot
Worst 5 drawdowns
| # | Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -43.07% | May 24 | Nov 24 | Apr 25 | 330 days | 150 days |
| 2 | -21.89% | Sep 25 | Jan 26 | May 26 | 240 days | 120 days |
| 3 | -12.00% | Jun 26 | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | 90 days | 30 days |
| 4 | -6.82% | Oct 23 | Dec 23 | Jan 24 | 90 days | 30 days |
Trade metrics
Trading behaviour, risk, consistency and efficiency in one place.
Trades
- Frequency
- 2 trades/week
- Success ratio
- 52.40%
- Avg. profit per trade
- +6.28%
- Avg. loss per trade
- -4.61%
- Risk : reward
- 1.36
- Stop-loss per trade
- 8.00%
Risk
- Risk level
- Very High
- Avg. drawdown
- -17.29%
- Max drawdown
- -43.07%
- Avg. time to recovery
- 83 days
- Max time to recovery
- 150 days
- Annualised volatility
- 44.39%
Consistency
- Win days
- 55.40%
- Win months
- 66.67%
- Win quarters
- 75.00%
- Max consecutive wins
- 7 trades
- Max consecutive losses
- 5 trades
- Max consecutive winning months
- 10
Efficiency
- Sharpe
- 1.19
- Sortino
- 2.04
- Calmar
- 1.45
- Alpha
- 0.39
- Beta to NIFTY 50
- 1.09
Past trades
Daily profit and loss for any month since Oct 23. Pick a month, then a day to see its trades.
Month to date (16 Oct 2026) on the maximum allocation of ₹3,20,000. Select a day to see its trades.
- Trading days
- 3
- Winning days
- 2
- Best day
- +₹20,800
- Worst day
- −₹13,050
Tue 13 Oct 2026
About Convex Credit Spread Overnight
Convex Credit Spread Overnight is a non-directional NIFTY options strategy. It measures how option prices curve across strike prices (convexity) and enters a defined-risk credit spread when the curvature is statistically stretched. Positions are opened in the afternoon session and typically closed the next day, so the algo earns overnight time decay while a hedge leg caps the maximum loss on every trade.
How it works
Risk notes
Combine with other algos
Correlation of monthly returns between Convex Credit Spread Overnight and other algos. Low or negative correlation means they tend not to draw down at the same time, which steadies a portfolio.
| Algo | Correlation | 1Y | Max DD | Combined max DD (50/50) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry | 0.17 | +27.0% | -14.3% | -23.1% | Combine |
| Momentum Pulse Equity | 0.24 | +13.1% | -16.7% | -15.9% | Combine |
| Mean Reversion NIFTY Intraday | -0.28 | +50.9% | -7.8% | -19.8% | Combine |
| Calm Harbour Iron Condor Weekly | 0.45 | +9.1% | -4.4% | -24.3% | Combine |
| Trend Rider BANKNIFTY Futures | 0.19 | +14.2% | -27.5% | -17.0% | Combine |
| Dividend Rotator Equity | 0.23 | +2.5% | -11.3% | -22.0% | Combine |
| Volatility Harvest Straddle | 0.01 | +51.5% | -17.3% | -23.5% | Combine |
| Gold Carry MCX | 0.10 | +23.3% | -7.9% | -20.1% | Combine |
| US Large-Cap Momentum | 0.04 | +19.7% | -11.3% | -20.0% | Combine |
| QQQ Trend Switch | 0.07 | +13.5% | -8.4% | -23.1% | Combine |
| SPX Weekly Put Spread | -0.16 | +22.2% | -8.8% | -18.0% | Combine |
| Bitcoin Trend 4H | -0.15 | +54.9% | -26.4% | -21.4% | Combine |
| ETH–BTC Rotation | -0.05 | +51.5% | -27.8% | -22.8% | Combine |
Frequently asked questions
What capital do I need to run Convex Credit Spread Overnight?
A minimum allocation of ₹1,00,000 is required. Performance figures are shown on the maximum allocation of ₹3,20,000.
Is this algo directional?
No. It is a non-directional credit spread strategy that profits from time decay and option curvature normalising rather than from market direction.
How often does it trade?
On average about two trades a week, each held overnight.
How do I subscribe to Convex Credit Spread Overnight?
Choose a plan on the pricing page, link your broker account, set your allocation (minimum ₹1,00,000) and the algo starts placing orders from the next session. You pay ₹1,499 per month plus 20% of net monthly profit above the high-water mark.
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Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry
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