Trade 1−₹22,800
SideInstrumentQty × entryExitBuyBTCUSDT0.0642 × $82991.74$78788.90
opened 9 Oct → 04:03 UTC · Stop-loss hit · SL 4%
Bitcoin Trend 4H
Buys Bitcoin spot on 4-hour breakouts above a volatility channel and exits on a trailing stop, holding cash (USDT) otherwise.
- 1Y return
- +54.9%
- CAGR
- +44.6%
- Max drawdown
- -26.4%
- Sharpe
- 1.00
- Win rate
- 39.0%
- Subscribers
- 260220 slots left
Overview
Backtested Oct 23 – Sep 26 on the maximum allocation of ₹5,00,000 (about $5,917), against the Bitcoin.
1M-3.23%
3M+2.41%
6M+24.46%
1Y+54.90%
Max+202.56%
- Bitcoin Trend 4H
- Bitcoin (benchmark)
Characteristics
- Market
- Crypto
- Brokers
- Binance
- Trading hours
- 24×7
- Operates on
- Binance
- Built on
- BTC/USDT spot
- Segment
- Crypto Spot
- Strategy
- Trend Following
- Holding period
- Swing (days)
- Favourable in
- Strong, sustained crypto trends
- Provider
- Orbit Digital
- Logic
- White box
Performance
Returns on the maximum allocation, by period and by month.
Returns by period
| Period | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -₹16,150 | -3.23% |
| 3 months | ₹12,054 | +2.41% |
| 6 months | ₹1,22,279 | +24.46% |
| 1 year | ₹2,74,475 | +54.90% |
| 3 years | ₹10,12,796 | +202.56% |
| All time | ₹10,12,796 | +202.56% |
Return profile
- Cumulative return
- +202.56%
- CAGR
- +44.63%
- Avg. up month
- +10.83%
- Avg. down month
- -6.30%
Monthly returns
Monthly returns distribution
- -22.53% to -4.78%6 months
- -4.71% to -1.87%6 months
- -1.2% to 1.01%6 months
- 1.52% to 9.21%6 months
- 10.1% to 15.92%6 months
- 16.35% to 24.13%6 months
Drawdowns
How deep and how long the strategy fell from its peaks, and how fast it recovered.
Max drawdown-26.45%Jul 25
Avg. drawdown-12.57%across all months under water
Longest drawdown390 daysMay 25 – Jun 26
Underwater plot
Worst 5 drawdowns
| # | Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -26.45% | May 25 | Jul 25 | Jun 26 | 390 days | 330 days |
| 2 | -22.53% | Nov 24 | Dec 24 | Apr 25 | 150 days | 120 days |
| 3 | -7.79% | Jul 26 | Sep 26 | Ongoing | 60 days | – |
| 4 | -7.50% | Apr 24 | May 24 | Jun 24 | 60 days | 30 days |
| 5 | -4.78% | Oct 23 | Nov 23 | Dec 23 | 60 days | 30 days |
Trade metrics
Trading behaviour, risk, consistency and efficiency in one place.
Trades
- Frequency
- 2.5 trades/week
- Success ratio
- 39.00%
- Avg. profit per trade
- +9.60%
- Avg. loss per trade
- -3.80%
- Risk : reward
- 2.53
- Stop-loss per trade
- 4.00%
Risk
- Risk level
- Very High
- Avg. drawdown
- -12.57%
- Max drawdown
- -26.45%
- Avg. time to recovery
- 128 days
- Max time to recovery
- 330 days
- Annualised volatility
- 37.87%
Consistency
- Win days
- 46.00%
- Win months
- 58.33%
- Win quarters
- 83.33%
- Max consecutive wins
- 4 trades
- Max consecutive losses
- 8 trades
- Max consecutive winning months
- 5
Efficiency
- Sharpe
- 1.00
- Sortino
- 1.85
- Calmar
- 1.69
- Alpha
- 0.05
- Beta to Bitcoin
- 0.43
Past trades
Daily profit and loss for any month since Oct 23. Pick a month, then a day to see its trades.
₹88,750 (+17.75%)
Month to date (16 Oct 2026) on the maximum allocation of ₹5,00,000. Select a day to see its trades.
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
19
20
21
22
23
26
27
28
29
30
- Trading days
- 12
- Winning days
- 4
- Best day
- +₹60,925
- Worst day
- −₹26,350
Trades on
−₹22,800Fri 16 Oct 2026
About Bitcoin Trend 4H
Bitcoin Trend 4H trades BTC/USDT spot on Binance around the clock. It buys when the 4-hour close breaks above a Keltner channel with rising volume, trails a stop at twice the average true range, and sits in USDT between trends. It never uses leverage or futures.
How it works
- Builds a 20-period Keltner channel on 4-hour BTC/USDT candles.
- Buys when a candle closes above the upper band with volume above its 20-period average.
- Trails a stop at 2× ATR below the highest close since entry.
- Holds USDT when out of the market; spot only, no leverage.
White-box strategy: the provider discloses the rules above so you can judge the logic as well as the track record.
Risk notes
Bitcoin can fall 20% or more in days, and trend models give back part of their gains when trends end. Crypto is unregulated in India and is not offered to residents of the UAE or other Gulf countries.
Combine with other algos
Correlation of monthly returns between Bitcoin Trend 4H and other algos. Low or negative correlation means they tend not to draw down at the same time, which steadies a portfolio.
| Algo | Correlation | 1Y | Max DD | Combined max DD (50/50) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Convex Credit Spread Overnight | -0.15 | +27.4% | -43.1% | -21.4% | Combine |
| Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry | 0.01 | +27.0% | -14.3% | -17.7% | Combine |
| Momentum Pulse Equity | -0.04 | +13.1% | -16.7% | -11.4% | Combine |
| Mean Reversion NIFTY Intraday | -0.16 | +50.9% | -7.8% | -10.7% | Combine |
| Calm Harbour Iron Condor Weekly | -0.29 | +9.1% | -4.4% | -9.5% | Combine |
| Trend Rider BANKNIFTY Futures | -0.05 | +14.2% | -27.5% | -13.9% | Combine |
| Dividend Rotator Equity | 0.07 | +2.5% | -11.3% | -15.2% | Combine |
| Volatility Harvest Straddle | -0.18 | +51.5% | -17.3% | -13.5% | Combine |
| Gold Carry MCX | -0.11 | +23.3% | -7.9% | -12.1% | Combine |
| US Large-Cap Momentum | -0.17 | +19.7% | -11.3% | -14.3% | Combine |
| QQQ Trend Switch | -0.01 | +13.5% | -8.4% | -15.2% | Combine |
| SPX Weekly Put Spread | -0.08 | +22.2% | -8.8% | -14.9% | Combine |
| ETH–BTC Rotation | 0.55 | +51.5% | -27.8% | -24.5% | Combine |
Frequently asked questions
Can the strategy withdraw my crypto?
No. You connect Binance with an API key that can trade but not withdraw, so the strategy can only buy and sell in your own account.
Does it trade on weekends?
Yes. Crypto trades 24×7 and so does the strategy.
How do I subscribe to Bitcoin Trend 4H?
Choose a plan on the pricing page, link your broker account, set your allocation (minimum ₹50,000) and the algo starts placing orders from the next session. You pay ₹1,199 per month plus 20% of net monthly profit above the high-water mark.
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- Min capital
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- Risk
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QQQ Trend Switch
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ETH–BTC Rotation
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- Min capital
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Convex Credit Spread Overnight
Sells NIFTY put or call spreads when option-surface curvature signals a convexity reversal, holding positions overnight to capture theta and skew normalisation.
- Min capital
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Important disclosure. Past performance, including back-tested returns, does not guarantee future results. Algorithmic trading strategies are exposed to market risk and can undergo periods of drawdown. Returns are subject to slippage, which depends on market conditions, the traded instrument and its liquidity. In accordance with exchange regulations, algorithmic strategies place LIMIT orders only, so execution is not guaranteed. Trades on the same instrument across multiple algos or manual orders may conflict. Performance figures and risk disclosures of listed algos are independently verified before listing. This demo uses simulated data.