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Demo · All algos, performance figures and trades are simulated to illustrate Lantern by Fintrens. Nothing here is investment advice.

ETH–BTC Rotation

Holds whichever of Bitcoin and Ether has the stronger 4-week momentum, and moves to USDT when both are falling.

CryptoDirectionalMomentumBinance · BTC, ETH and USDTCrypto SpotPositional (weekly)High risk◼ Black box
1Y return
+51.5%
CAGR
+37.3%
Max drawdown
-27.8%
Sharpe
1.00
Win rate
47.0%
Subscribers
175140 slots left

Overview

Backtested Oct 23 – Sep 26 on the maximum allocation of ₹6,00,000 (about $7,101), against the Bitcoin.

1M+0.56%
3M+10.58%
6M+50.77%
1Y+51.46%
Max+158.88%
ETH–BTC Rotation equity curve vs benchmark73221369516664StartMar 24Sep 24Mar 25Sep 25Mar 26Sep 26ETH–BTC RotationBitcoin (benchmark)
  • ETH–BTC Rotation
  • Bitcoin (benchmark)

Characteristics

Market
Crypto
Brokers
Binance
Trading hours
24×7
Operates on
Binance
Built on
BTC, ETH and USDT
Segment
Crypto Spot
Strategy
Momentum
Holding period
Positional (weekly)
Favourable in
Crypto bull runs with leadership swings
Logic
Black box

Performance

Returns on the maximum allocation, by period and by month.

Returns by period

PeriodProfitReturn
1 month₹3,360+0.56%
3 months₹63,493+10.58%
6 months₹3,04,605+50.77%
1 year₹3,08,769+51.46%
3 years₹9,53,282+158.88%
All time₹9,53,282+158.88%

Return profile

Cumulative return
+158.88%
CAGR
+37.31%
Avg. up month
+7.96%
Avg. down month
-5.67%

Monthly returns

-20%19%Oct 23: 9.08%Nov 23: -3.03%Dec 23: 18.89%Jan 24: 3.85%Feb 24: 15.52%Mar 24: 6.44%Apr 24: 15.11%May 24: -8.36%Jun 24: 2.07%Jul 24: 5.99%Aug 24: 0.59%Sep 24: -7%Oct 24: 16.19%Nov 24: 6.38%Dec 24: -19.76%Jan 25: -10.06%Feb 25: 0.34%Mar 25: 3.97%Apr 25: 8.72%May 25: -4.07%Jun 25: -3.65%Jul 25: -1.04%Aug 25: 9.68%Sep 25: -1.77%Oct 25: -3.72%Nov 25: 9.39%Dec 25: 3.55%Jan 26: -8.27%Feb 26: -0.82%Mar 26: 1.25%Apr 26: 17.45%May 26: 6.08%Jun 26: 9.43%Jul 26: 12.44%Aug 26: -2.2%Sep 26: 0.56%Oct 23Apr 24Oct 24Apr 25Oct 25Apr 26

Monthly returns distribution

  • -19.76% to -4.07%6 months
  • -3.72% to -1.04%6 months
  • -0.82% to 2.07%6 months
  • 3.55% to 6.38%6 months
  • 6.44% to 9.68%6 months
  • 12.44% to 18.89%6 months

Drawdowns

How deep and how long the strategy fell from its peaks, and how fast it recovered.

Max drawdown-27.83%Jan 25
Avg. drawdown-14.75%across all months under water
Longest drawdown540 daysNov 24 – May 26

Underwater plot

ETH–BTC Rotation underwater plot-29%-22%-14%-6%1%StartMar 24Sep 24Mar 25Sep 25Mar 26Sep 26Drawdown from peak

Worst 5 drawdowns

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredLengthRecovery
1-27.83%Nov 24Jan 25May 26540 days480 days
2-8.36%Apr 24May 24Oct 24180 days150 days
3-3.03%Oct 23Nov 23Dec 2360 days30 days
4-2.20%Jul 26Aug 26Ongoing60 days–

Trade metrics

Trading behaviour, risk, consistency and efficiency in one place.

Trades

Frequency
0.8 trades/week
Success ratio
47.00%
Avg. profit per trade
+11.20%
Avg. loss per trade
-5.10%
Risk : reward
2.20
Stop-loss per trade
8.00%

Risk

Risk level
High
Avg. drawdown
-14.75%
Max drawdown
-27.83%
Avg. time to recovery
220 days
Max time to recovery
480 days
Annualised volatility
29.81%

Consistency

Win days
49.00%
Win months
63.89%
Win quarters
66.67%
Max consecutive wins
5 trades
Max consecutive losses
6 trades
Max consecutive winning months
5

Efficiency

Sharpe
1.00
Sortino
1.80
Calmar
1.34
Alpha
0.03
Beta to Bitcoin
0.36

Past trades

Daily profit and loss for any month since Oct 23. Pick a month, then a day to see its trades.

₹31,575 (+5.26%)

Month to date (16 Oct 2026) on the maximum allocation of ₹6,00,000. Select a day to see its trades.

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
1
2
5
8
9
13
15
16
19
20
21
22
23
26
27
28
29
30
Trading days
4
Winning days
2
Best day
+₹56,175
Worst day
−₹37,275
Trades on

Wed 14 Oct 2026

+₹44,175
Trade 1+₹44,175
SideInstrumentQty × entryExitBuyETHUSDT1.7974 × $3555.48$3846.33
opened 9 Oct → 03:12 UTC · Exit signal · SL 8%

About ETH–BTC Rotation

ETH–BTC Rotation compares the 4-week momentum of BTC and ETH every week and holds the stronger one in spot, or USDT when both are negative. The exact weighting and filters are the provider’s own.

How it works

◼
Black-box strategy. Orbit Digital has chosen to keep the trading logic confidential. Lantern has verified the backtest and tracks every live signal, so the performance, risk metrics and trade history above are independently checked even though the rules are not disclosed.

Risk notes

Crypto drawdowns are deep and fast; rotating between two correlated coins does not protect against a market-wide fall. Crypto is unregulated in India and is not offered to residents of the UAE or other Gulf countries.

Combine with other algos

Correlation of monthly returns between ETH–BTC Rotation and other algos. Low or negative correlation means they tend not to draw down at the same time, which steadies a portfolio.

AlgoCorrelation1YMax DDCombined max DD (50/50)Action
Convex Credit Spread Overnight-0.05+27.4%-43.1%-22.8%Combine
Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry-0.00+27.0%-14.3%-10.7%Combine
Momentum Pulse Equity-0.08+13.1%-16.7%-10.3%Combine
Mean Reversion NIFTY Intraday-0.00+50.9%-7.8%-11.0%Combine
Calm Harbour Iron Condor Weekly-0.16+9.1%-4.4%-13.5%Combine
Trend Rider BANKNIFTY Futures-0.11+14.2%-27.5%-14.0%Combine
Dividend Rotator Equity-0.03+2.5%-11.3%-11.3%Combine
Volatility Harvest Straddle-0.14+51.5%-17.3%-14.1%Combine
Gold Carry MCX-0.02+23.3%-7.9%-12.9%Combine
US Large-Cap Momentum-0.09+19.7%-11.3%-13.9%Combine
QQQ Trend Switch-0.06+13.5%-8.4%-13.5%Combine
SPX Weekly Put Spread-0.29+22.2%-8.8%-11.4%Combine
Bitcoin Trend 4H0.55+54.9%-26.4%-24.5%Combine

Frequently asked questions

Is this leveraged?

No. Spot only, in your own Binance account, with withdrawal permission switched off on the API key.

How do I subscribe to ETH–BTC Rotation?

Choose a plan on the pricing page, link your broker account, set your allocation (minimum ₹75,000) and the algo starts placing orders from the next session. You pay ₹899 per month plus 20% of net monthly profit above the high-water mark.

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Important disclosure. Past performance, including back-tested returns, does not guarantee future results. Algorithmic trading strategies are exposed to market risk and can undergo periods of drawdown. Returns are subject to slippage, which depends on market conditions, the traded instrument and its liquidity. In accordance with exchange regulations, algorithmic strategies place LIMIT orders only, so execution is not guaranteed. Trades on the same instrument across multiple algos or manual orders may conflict. Performance figures and risk disclosures of listed algos are independently verified before listing. This demo uses simulated data.
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